Crypto analyst Willy Woo simulated possible Bitcoin trajectories using historical price movements, cycle phases, and changing returns across multiple market cycles.

Among outcomes he presented a peak range for 2028 between $241,000 and $413,000, which he described as optimistic and illustrative.

Model and data

The simulation draws on price minima observed in 2018 and 2022, incorporating the phase of the market cycle as a structural input.

It also accounts for a gradual reduction in Bitcoin’s cycle-to-cycle returns, adjusting longer-term expectations for future appreciation accordingly.

Range and caveats

From his simulation, he singled out a 2028 peak band of $241,000–$413,000 as a plausible upper bound under optimistic assumptions.

He emphasized that the result is a model output rather than a personal price prediction, reiterating the distinction between simulation and forecast.

Woo warned to treat the figures as illustrative, since models depend on assumptions and cannot capture all future market shocks.

The publication presents the simulation without linking it to a specific investment recommendation and stresses methodological transparency.