The trader who previously profited from wagers on Israeli strikes against Iran has opened new positions betting on possible U.S. intervention.

New positions and timing

He allocated $24,000 to a scenario that would resolve by the end of this month and added $40,000 to a position expiring by the end of next month.

The trades reflect a view that escalation could materialize within a short timeframe and influence relevant markets and instruments.

Potential returns

If an escalation occurs as anticipated, the trader’s positions could yield about $240,000 in profit, according to the reported estimates.

These potential returns follow an earlier successful wager that produced $278,000 for the same market participant, highlighting a sequence of event-driven trades.

Risk considerations

Event-based strategies carry concentrated risk tied to geopolitical developments and to the specific settlement dates of the contracts used for these wagers.

Any deviation from expected timelines or market reactions could materially reduce or eliminate prospective gains from the current positions.